Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.137141 0.162296 0.190405 0.224091 0.263312 0.307480 0.360940
2025-01-05 0.097619 0.129880 0.169960 0.223186 0.291769 0.376894 0.490264
2025-01-12 0.073137 0.106833 0.152356 0.217870 0.309168 0.431224 0.605969
2025-01-19 0.056763 0.089751 0.137580 0.211192 0.320644 0.476153 0.712271
2025-01-26 0.047983 0.081236 0.132462 0.215936 0.347034 0.543042 0.855572
2025-02-02 0.040958 0.073785 0.127203 0.218833 0.369937 0.606291 0.999746
2025-02-09 0.035062 0.066920 0.121457 0.219532 0.388641 0.664239 1.141251
2025-02-16 0.030713 0.061849 0.117711 0.222625 0.411055 0.729813 1.301321
2025-02-23 0.027886 0.059005 0.117291 0.231188 0.443473 0.814904 1.502328
2025-03-02 0.023617 0.052563 0.109209 0.224439 0.447376 0.850864 1.621676
2025-03-09 0.020833 0.048598 0.105186 0.224640 0.463803 0.910235 1.788050
2025-03-16 0.018161 0.044369 0.099952 0.221599 0.473381 0.957609 1.936562
2025-03-23 0.016556 0.042279 0.098942 0.227280 0.501390 1.043584 2.168682
2025-03-30 0.014578 0.038964 0.094813 0.225815 0.514697 1.102603 2.355085
2025-04-06 0.012604 0.035268 0.089237 0.220327 0.518723 1.143328 2.508969
2025-04-13 0.010842 0.031749 0.083488 0.213555 0.518959 1.176026 2.649338
2025-04-20 0.009974 0.030411 0.082742 0.218344 0.545553 1.266655 2.919544
2025-04-27 0.009105 0.028898 0.081318 0.221270 0.568146 1.350779 3.183668
2025-05-04 0.008231 0.027195 0.079134 0.221976 0.585516 1.424981 3.432931
2025-05-11 0.007559 0.025951 0.077965 0.225101 0.609083 1.515364 3.726674
2025-05-18 0.007165 0.025486 0.078850 0.233754 0.647381 1.643282 4.117583
2025-05-25 0.006261 0.023203 0.074258 0.226934 0.645472 1.676426 4.291176
2025-06-01 0.005691 0.021902 0.072298 0.227137 0.661854 1.754962 4.579413